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Equities: Broad-based gains, value across the region

UGX 5.93Tn

Portfolio value

UGX 369.1Bn

Dividend income

60.8%

Total return

Equities delivered another stellar year of performance. A stronger broad recovery across the region's bourses lifted the book by roughly three-quarters and drove a sharp rise in its share of the overall portfolio. This performance was reinforced by strong corporate earnings, healthy dividends, and a wave of corporate activity across the region.

The equity portfolio closed the year at UGX 5.93 trillion, from UGX 3.40 trillion a year earlier. The portfolio generated dividend income of UGX 369.1 billion and delivered a record total return of approximately 60.8% over the twelve months. The gains were broad-based, led by the financial services and telecommunications counters that dominate the book. In Tanzania, CRDB and NMB both reached record levels after an exceptional multi-year run, and the Fund realised part of its gains on both counters.

The scale of the value created reflects strategic accumulation over time, evident in the relationship between the Fund's holdings and their accumulated cost. Figure 6 indexes the Fund’s weighted-average entry cost to each counter held during the year and compares it to the June 2026 market price. The chart shows that majority of the portfolio traded well above cost at year-end, with the Tanzanian banks and several Kenyan financials the furthest advanced.

Up nextEquities

Figure 6: Equity entry-price ranges versus current market prices, by counter (indexed to average cost = 100)

Financial services

47.4%

Telecommunications

40.4%

Consumer staples

6.7%

The year was also marked by significant corporate activity across the region, which added tailwind support to valuations. The Government of Kenya completed the sale of a 15% Safaricom stake to Vodacom at KES 34 per share, which the market took as a credible valuation signal. Kenya's banking sector saw a wave of cross-border consolidation. Nedbank's offer to acquire a controlling 66% stake in NCBA Group secured overwhelming shareholder acceptance, with completion expected in the second half of 2026.

Absa Group launched a premium tender offer to lift its stake in Absa Bank Kenya from 68.5% to 85%, at KES 34.50 per share. In the consumer sector, Asahi's acquisition of Diageo's controlling stake in East African Breweries advanced, having secured the regional capital-markets approvals, though it continued to face legal challenges in Kenya. The Fund holds positions across several of these counters and monitors each transaction for its valuation and competitive implications.

In terms of allocation, the portfolio remained concentrated in its highest conviction holdings, with financial services dominant at about 47.4%, telecommunications at about 40.4% and consumer staples at about 6.7%. The Fund added private equity hospitality exposure to the portfolio during the year.

Looking ahead, we remain keen on security selection despite market valuations. The strategy will capitalise on opportunities where valuations remain attractive and fundamentally supported, particularly in Kenya. Domestically, the anticipated Airtel Money initial public offering, now targeted for the second half of 2026, and the prospective secondary listing of a further Airtel Uganda stake, remain priority opportunities under evaluation.

The sector strategy is to diversify exposure to energy and manufacturing. The global equity markets have shown the countercyclical nature of the energy sector. Both public and brownfield opportunities will be explored in this sector. The Fund shall also continue to monitor the regional consolidation among financial services counters for the valuation and competitive dynamics they may create.

Up nextReal estate: Building for tomorrow

NSSF Integrated Report 2026

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NSSF Integrated Report 2026

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01

Report Overview

02

Our Business

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Our Strategy

04

Our Governance

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Our Sustainability

06

Our Performance

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